Home Value Update: August 2023

Higher mortgage rates, along with elevated sales prices and a lack of housing inventory, have continued to impact market activity during the summer homebuying season. The average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage has remained above 6.5% since May, recently hitting a two-decade high in August,
according to Freddie Mac. As a result, existing-home sales have continued to slow nationwide, dropping 2.2% month-over-month as of last measure, with sales down 16.6% compared to the same time last year, according to the National Association of REALTORS® (NAR).

Falling home sales have done little to cool home prices, however, which have continued to sit at record high levels nationally thanks to a limited supply of homes for sale. According to NAR, there were 1.11 million homes for sale heading into August, 14.6% fewer homes than the same period last year, for a
3.3 months’ supply at the current sales pace. The shortage of homes for sale has boosted competition for available properties and is driving sales prices higher, with NAR reporting a national median existing-home price of $406,700, a 1.9% increase from a year earlier.

North County Overview:

  • Closed Sales decreased 12.1 percent for Detached homes and 19.6 percent for Attached homes.
  • Pending Sales decreased 21.7 percent for Detached homes and 16.7 percent for Attached homes.
  • The Median Sales Price was up 14.0 percent to $1,127,150 for Detached homes and 8.6 percent to $730,000 for Attached homes.
  • Days on Market decreased 8.3 percent for Detached homes and 22.7 percent for Attached homes.
  • Supply decreased 29.2 percent for Detached homes and 38.1 percent for Attached homes.

City Overview: Holding fairly steady with regard to Price, Days on Market, number of sold and active listings.

Carlsbad

MonthAvg
Sold $
ChgDOMChgSold HomesChgAct. ListingsChg% List PriceYoY Chg
08/23$1,815,000-2%157%1917%1041%99.6%0.7%
07/23$1,861,000-3%140%17915%1036%100.0%2.2%
06/23$1,920,0001%14-26%156-3%9723%100.3%3.0%
05/23$1,900,0006%19-17%16115%7922%100.0%2.4%
04/23$1,793,0008%23-26%1409%655%98.4%-0.8%
03/23$1,657,0004%310%12835%62-2%96.9%0.8%
02/23$1,594,000-0%3111%95-17%63-19%95.5%5.1%
01/23$1,598,000-2%280%114-10%78-21%95.9%4.1%
12/22$1,623,0002%28-7%127-19%99-14%94.4%4.9%
11/22$1,587,000-2%300%156-4%115-9%94.0%3.1%
10/22$1,614,000-5%3025%162-14%127-16%94.9%5.0%
09/22$1,703,600-5%2441%188-12%151-11%95.8%14.3%
08/22$1,802,279-1%1742%213-4%1691%98.9%22.4%
07/22$1,821,026-2%1220%223-4%16719%102.8%27.6%
06/22$1,863,6240%100%2334%14037%106.7%29.5%
05/22$1,855,9693%10-17%2236%10236%109.4%26.2%
04/22$1,807,47110%12-20%21012%759%109.5%23.3%
03/22$1,643,4658%15-12%187-6%69-5%107.4%16.1%
02/22$1,516,065-1%176%198-14%73-17%104.4%20.7%
01/22$1,535,059-1%160%231-17%88-15%103.0%30.4%

Encinitas

MonthAvg
Sold $
ChgDOMChgSold HomesChgAct. ListingsChg% List PriceYoY Chg
08/23$2,640,0003%21-5%820%487%100.0%-1.1%
07/23$2,560,0001%2216%82-1%450%99.7%-3.4%
06/23$2,523,0001%19-21%832%452%98.7%-2.7%
05/23$2,496,000-4%24-11%8131%4413%98%-3.7%
04/23$2,592,0002%27-18%6219%393%97.1%6.4%
03/23$2,542,00022%33-8%520%38-16%94.9%17.2%
02/23$2,077,0002%3613%520%45-4%92.2%1.2%
01/23$2,028,000-10%32-3%52-15%47-10%93.4%-5.9%
12/22$2,255,000-4%3318%61-5%52-5%92.5%1.3%
11/22$2,343,000-6%28-10%64-7%554%93.4%3.9%
10/22$2,505,000-4%3111%691%53-5%93.2%10.3%
09/22$2,604,000-2%2840%68-3%56-3%94.4%13.3%
08/22$2,668,9441%2054%70-17%584%98.1%25.6%
07/22$2,650,4042%130%84-18%5614%103.1%31.3%
06/22$2,592,6140%13-19%103-9%4920%105.6%31.3%
05/22$2,590,5936%167%11318%4121%106.7%30.1%
04/22$2,435,88712%15-25%9612%34-6%106.9%24.8%
03/22$2,169,5826%20-9%868%36-14%104.7%17.3%
02/22$2,052,570-5%22-19%80-7%42-19%103.1%17.5%
01/22$2,155,319-3%2713%86-7%52-13%101.8%27.7%

Oceanside

MonthAvg
Sold $
ChgDOMChgSold HomesChgActive ListingsChg% List PriceYoY Chg
08/23$971,000-0%140%2597%103-7%101.5%4.9%
07/23$974,000-2%14-22%2433%11110%102.1%-0.6%
06/23$997,0001%18-33%2362%1016%101.1%2.6%
05/23$988,0000%27-18%23212%9517%100%0.9%
04/23$984,0007%33-11%2087%81-21%98.5%5.6%
03/23$923,000-2%379%19410%103-18%97.2%3.0%
02/23$938,0001%340%176-7%125-15%96.1%14.0%
01/23$933,000-0%3417%190-16%147-15%95.2%9.5%
12/22$934,0003%294%225-11%173-9%95.3%9.8%
11/22$911,0003%2812%254-14%190-2%95.4%3.9%
10/22$885,000-2%254%296-2%193-6%97.4%6.3%
09/22$904,283-2%2433%303-1%206-8%96.8%11.3%
08/22$926,014-5%1838%307-4%2232%99.1%15.5%
07/22$979,5241%1318%321-17%21814%102.3%23.2%
06/22$971,761-1%11-15%385-9%19124%104.8%21.9%
05/22$979,3465%13-13%4219%15418%105.8%25.8%
04/22$931,8934%15-12%38621%1305%105.7%21.6%
03/22$896,0659%176%318-2%124-5%104.7%19.7%
02/22$823,005-3%167%324-11%130-10%103.1%18.4%
01/22$852,1430%157%364-15%144-7%102.9%24.9%

San Marcos

MonthAvg
Sold $
ChgDOMChgSold HomesChgActive ListingsChg% List PriceYoY Chg
08/23$1,185,000-0%18-14%1251%395%101.1%7.9%
07/23$1,186,0003%2111%124-6%37-12%100.6%3.8%
06/23$1,154,0003%19-5%1325%425%100.1%4.9%
05/23$1,123,0001%20-29%12613%40-9%99.3%3.4%
04/23$1,113,0009%28-20%1128%44-19%98.7%5.6%
03/23$1,017,0002%35-3%10416%54-17%97.3%-1.9%
02/23$996,0002%3624%90-14%65-14%95.5%1.5%
01/23$972,0002%297%105-15%76-16%95.2%-2.1%
12/22$951,000-2%278%123-22%90-11%94.6%-1.0%
11/22$974,000-1%259%158-3%101-6%95.0%2.8%
10/22$985,000-6%2310%163-8%107-8%95.8%6.4%
09/22$1,047,000-5%2131%177-3%116-6%96.9%11.5%
08/22$1,098,000-4%1623%183-11%1236%99.8%13.8%
07/22$1,143,0004%138%205-8%11620%102.9%17.7%
06/22$1,100,6171%120%222-1%9728%105.0%14.8%
05/22$1,085,7693%120%22411%7613%106.7%19.0%
04/22$1,053,8082%120%20110%678%107.3%18.6%
03/22$1,036,3536%120%183-4%623%106.9%24.5%
02/22$981,319-1%12-20%190-6%60-5%105.0%21.0%
01/22$993,1963%150%203-11%63-7%103.0%26.5%

Vista

MonthAvg
Sold $
ChgDOMChgSold HomesChgActive ListingsChg% List PriceYoY Chg
08/23$998,0002%167%17016%842%101.4%8.7%
07/23$982,0002%15-6%14720%826%102.1%7.6%
06/23$964,0003%16-20%123-8%7738%100.2%1.6%
05/23$936,0000%20-13%1348%5610%99.3%-1.0%
04/23$935,0008%23-21%124-6%51-16%98.7%0.9%
03/23$863,0003%29-17%13227%61-10%97.5%-3.7%
02/23$835,0002%35-3%104-10%68-22%95.3%-5.5%
01/23$820,000-1%3620%116-6%87-19%94.2%-7.2%
12/22$828,000-3%3011%124-24%107-18%95.3%-3.6%
11/22$851,945-6%2717%163-11%131-11%95.9%2.2%
10/22$906,273-0%2321%183-9%147-10%96.6%13.6%
09/22$910,549-1%1919%2013%1633%97.4%15.3%
08/22$918,4641%1633%196-14%15910%98.6%18.5%
07/22$913,029-4%129%227-12%14421%101.7%18.4%
06/22$948,4250%1110%258-3%11924%105.5%24.0%
05/22$945,9102%10-9%26712%9617%107.0%25.8%
04/22$926,8643%11-21%23811%8215%107.4%28.8%
03/22$896,5491%14-13%214-3%719%104.8%30.0%
02/22$883,560-0%16-6%220-8%65-12%103.4%34.0%
01/22$883,9073%170%240-3%74-17%102.6%31.6%

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Monthly Update Continue reading

Home Value Update: July 2023

Inventory is still very low in all areas. With interest rates approaching 7% again, doubtful that will change soon.

Carlsbad: Home prices are beginning to soften a bit. Active listings and the number of sold homes are up.

MonthAvg
Sold $
ChgDOMChgSold HomesChgAct. ListingsChg% List PriceYoY Chg
07/23$1,861,000-3%140%17915%1036%100.0%2.2%
06/23$1,920,0001%14-26%156-3%9723%100.3%3.0%
05/23$1,900,0006%19-17%16115%7922%100.0%2.4%
04/23$1,793,0008%23-26%1409%655%98.4%-0.8%
03/23$1,657,0004%310%12835%62-2%96.9%0.8%
02/23$1,594,000-0%3111%95-17%63-19%95.5%5.1%
01/23$1,598,000-2%280%114-10%78-21%95.9%4.1%
12/22$1,623,0002%28-7%127-19%99-14%94.4%4.9%
11/22$1,587,000-2%300%156-4%115-9%94.0%3.1%
10/22$1,614,000-5%3025%162-14%127-16%94.9%5.0%
09/22$1,703,600-5%2441%188-12%151-11%95.8%14.3%
08/22$1,802,279-1%1742%213-4%1691%98.9%22.4%
07/22$1,821,026-2%1220%223-4%16719%102.8%27.6%
06/22$1,863,6240%100%2334%14037%106.7%29.5%
05/22$1,855,9693%10-17%2236%10236%109.4%26.2%
04/22$1,807,47110%12-20%21012%759%109.5%23.3%
03/22$1,643,4658%15-12%187-6%69-5%107.4%16.1%
02/22$1,516,065-1%176%198-14%73-17%104.4%20.7%
01/22$1,535,059-1%160%231-17%88-15%103.0%30.4%
Continue reading

Home Value Update: December 2022

Downward pressure on home values continues, however it weakened somewhat with Carlsbad and Oceanside home values going positive for the month of December.

Home values peaked in the June, July, August time frame, depending on the area.

Average Sold price, Days on Market, Number of Homes Sold, Active Listings on the market and the % of List Price the Seller Received. Along with the month to month change. I have also added in the Year over Year change to value.

Carlsbad: Down -12.9% from June 2022 Peak

MonthAvg
Sold $
ChgDOMChgSold
Homes
ChgActive
Listings
Chg% List
Price
YoY Chg
12/22$1,623,0002%28-7%127-19%99-14%94.4%4.9%
11/22$1,587,000-2%300%156-4%115-9%94.0%3.1%
10/22$1,614,000-5%3025%162-14%127-16%94.9%5.0%
09/22$1,703,600-5%2441%188-12%151-11%95.8%14.3%
08/22$1,802,279-1%1742%213-4%1691%98.9%22.4%
07/22$1,821,026-2%1220%223-4%16719%102.8%27.6%
06/22$1,863,6240%100%2334%14037%106.7%29.5%
05/22$1,855,9693%10-17%2236%10236%109.4%26.2%
04/22$1,807,47110%12-20%21012%759%109.5%23.3%
03/22$1,643,4658%15-12%187-6%69-5%107.4%16.1%
02/22$1,516,065-1%176%198-14%73-17%104.4%20.7%
01/22$1,535,059-1%160%231-17%88-15%103.0%30.4%
Continue reading

Home Value Update: November 2022

Downward pressure on home values continues.
Home values peaked in the June, July, August time frame, depending on the area.

Average Sold price, Days on Market, Number of Homes Sold, Active Listings on the market and the % of List Price the Seller Received. Along with the month to month change. I have also added in the Year over Year change to value.

Carlsbad: Down -14.8% from June 2022 Peak

MonthAvg
Sold $
ChgDOMChgSold
Homes
ChgActive
Listings
Chg% List
Price
YoY Chg
11/22$1,587,000-2%300%156-4%115-9%94.0%3.1%
10/22$1,614,000-5%3025%162-14%127-16%94.9%5.0%
09/22$1,703,600-5%2441%188-12%151-11%95.8%14.3%
08/22$1,802,279-1%1742%213-4%1691%98.9%22.4%
07/22$1,821,026-2%1220%223-4%16719%102.8%27.6%
06/22$1,863,6240%100%2334%14037%106.7%29.5%
05/22$1,855,9693%10-17%2236%10236%109.4%26.2%
04/22$1,807,47110%12-20%21012%759%109.5%23.3%
03/22$1,643,4658%15-12%187-6%69-5%107.4%16.1%
02/22$1,516,065-1%176%198-14%73-17%104.4%20.7%
01/22$1,535,059-1%160%231-17%88-15%103.0%30.4%
Continue reading

Home Price Update

Downward pressure on home values continues.
Home values peaked in the June, July, August time frame, depending on the area.

Average Sold price, Days on Market, Number of Homes Sold, Active Listings on the market and the % of List Price the Seller Received. Along with the month to month change. I have also added in the Year over Year change to value.

Carlsbad:

MonthAvg
Sold $
ChgDOMChgSold
Homes
ChgActive
Listings
Chg% List
Price
YoY Chg
10/22$1,614,000-5%3025%162-14%127-16%94.9%5.0%
09/22$1,703,600-5%2441%188-12%151-11%95.8%14.3%
08/22$1,802,279-1%1742%213-4%1691%98.9%22.4%
07/22$1,821,026-2%1220%223-4%16719%102.8%27.6%
06/22$1,863,6240%100%2334%14037%106.7%29.5%
05/22$1,855,9693%10-17%2236%10236%109.4%26.2%
04/22$1,807,47110%12-20%21012%759%109.5%23.3%
03/22$1,643,4658%15-12%187-6%69-5%107.4%16.1%
02/22$1,516,065-1%176%198-14%73-17%104.4%20.7%
01/22$1,535,059-1%160%231-17%88-15%103.0%30.4%
Continue reading

Prices, DOM & Price Received: Values Have Peaked?

A look back over the last 12 months.

Average Sold price, Days on Market, Number of Homes Sold, Active Listings on the market and the % of List Price the Seller Received. Along with the month to month change.

As you can see, the interest rate hikes are being felt. Home values peaked in the June, July, August time frame, depending on the area.

The question now, how much of a pull back will there be?

Carlsbad:

MonthAvg
Sold $
ChgDOMChgSold
Homes
ChgActive
Listings
Chg% List
Price
09/22$1,703,600-5%2441%188-12%151-11%95.8%
08/22$1,802,279-1%1742%213-4%1691%98.9%
07/22$1,821,026-2%1220%223-4%16719%102.8%
06/22$1,863,6240%100%2334%14037%106.7%
05/22$1,855,9693%10-17%2236%10236%109.4%
04/22$1,807,47110%12-20%21012%759%109.5%
03/22$1,643,4658%15-12%187-6%69-5%107.4%
02/22$1,516,065-1%176%198-14%73-17%104.4%
01/22$1,535,059-1%160%231-17%88-15%103.0%
12/22$1,547,0571%167%279-9%103-17%102.0%
11/22$1,538,7680%157%308-3%124-13%101.3%
10/22$1,536,5703%148%319-5%142-15%102.0%
09/22$1,490,8401%138%335-3%168-5%103.4%
08/22$1,472,9433%120%345-1%1770%105.5%
07/22$1,427,206-1%12-8%347-5%1776%106.1%
06/22$1,439,564-2%130%3649%1672%106.1%
05/22$1,471,0580%13-7%3349%1632%105.4%
04/22$1,465,9964%14-22%30731%16012%104.0%
03/22$1,415,60213%18-14%235-9%1436%102.2%
02/22$1,255,9897%21-5%258-18%1350%100.2%
01/22$1,177,092 22 314 135 99.7%
Continue reading

Monthly Market Overview North San Diego County August 2022  

Summer 2022 has been a season of change for the U.S. real estate market. With housing affordability at a 33-year low, existing-home sales have continued to soften nationwide, falling 5.9% month-to-month and 20.9% year over-year as of last measure, according to the National Association of REALTORS® (NAR). Pending home sales have also continued to decline, while new listings have steadily increased, with unsold inventory reaching 3.3 months’ supply at the start of August. The pullback in demand has been
particularly hard on homebuilders, causing new-home sales and construction to slow.

  • Closed Sales decreased 34.2 percent for Detached homes and 27.1 percent for Attached homes.
  • Pending Sales decreased 32.9 percent for Detached homes and 31.3 percent for Attached homes.
  • The Median Sales Price was up 4.8 percent to $985,000 for Detached homes and 15.9 percent to $672,500 for Attached homes.
  • Days on Market increased 60.0 percent for Detached homes and 75.0 percent for Attached homes.
    Supply increased 20.0 percent for Detached homes and 45.5 percent for Attached homes.

Inflation, higher interest rates, and fears of a potential recession have taken a toll on buyers and sellers this summer, leading many people to stay on the sidelines to see what will happen with the market. But some experts, including NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun, believe the worst of inflation may be over. Although sales prices remain up from this time last year, price growth is expected to moderate in the months ahead as the market continues to shift in a more buyer-friendly direction.

San Diego North County Monthly Housing Market Indicators August 2022

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Monthly-0822